{"id":1301,"date":"2014-10-06T11:17:02","date_gmt":"2014-10-06T15:17:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shorebeat.com\/brick\/?p=1301"},"modified":"2014-10-06T11:17:02","modified_gmt":"2014-10-06T15:17:02","slug":"pollster-macarthur-now-leading-belgard-in-congressional-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/2014\/10\/pollster-macarthur-now-leading-belgard-in-congressional-race\/","title":{"rendered":"Pollster: MacArthur Now Leading Belgard in Congressional Race"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_931\" style=\"width: 250px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/macarthur_belgard.png\" data-rel=\"lightbox-image-0\" data-rl_title=\"\" data-rl_caption=\"\" title=\"\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-931\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-931\" src=\"https:\/\/www.shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/macarthur_belgard-240x160.png\" alt=\"Tom MacArthur and Aimee Belgard. (Photo: Shorebeat)\" width=\"240\" height=\"160\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/macarthur_belgard-240x160.png 240w, https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/macarthur_belgard-290x195.png 290w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 240px) 100vw, 240px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-931\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Tom MacArthur and Aimee Belgard. (Photo: Shorebeat)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A Republican pollster says his research is showing a seven point lead for Tom MacArthur over Democrat Aimee Belgard in the race to see who will fill the congressional seat being vacated by Rep. Jon Runyan (R-NJ).<\/p>\n<p>Adam Geller, previously the pollster for Gov. Chris Christie, said in a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tmac4congress.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/NJ03_FINAL_MEMO_OCT3.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">memo<\/a> posted on MacArthur&#8217;s website Monday that MacArthur led Belgard 44 percent to 37 percent in a poll of 400 voters conducted between Sept. 30 and Oct. 2. Those polled were 35 percent Republicans, 36 percent Democrats and 29 percent unaffiliated.<\/p>\n<p>Geller said in the memo that &#8220;overall political dynamics and atmospherics&#8221; favor a Republican candidate, with the same poll showing President Barack Obama&#8217;s approval rating at 43 percent with his disapproval at 53 percent. In a generic ballot, the Republican candidate leads 41 percent to 38 percent, according to the poll.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;While the overall political environment has shifted in the Republicans\u2019 favor, this district requires two things in order for Republicans to succeed,&#8221; the memo said. &#8220;An environment that is not lousy for the GOP (think 2008) and a strong candidate with a good message.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A poll last conducted month by the Richard Stockton College of New Jersey polling institute showed MacArthur and Belgard tied in the race.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday morning, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee released a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=I041v0-jg1g&amp;feature=youtu.be\">new ad attacking MacArthur<\/a>, referencing a lawsuit against his former company involving overtime pay. Last week, MacArthur <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=fxtTaRzDjys\">released an ad<\/a> defending his record in the insurance industry, saying he is a &#8220;self-made businessman&#8221; who will stand up for the middle class.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fcbkbttn_buttons_block\" id=\"fcbkbttn_left\"><div class=\"fb-share-button fcbkbttn_large_button \" data-href=\"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/2014\/10\/pollster-macarthur-now-leading-belgard-in-congressional-race\/\" data-type=\"button_count\" data-size=\"large\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Republican pollster says his research is showing a seven point lead for Tom MacArthur over Democrat Aimee Belgard in the race to see who will fill the congressional seat being vacated by Rep. Jon Runyan (R-NJ). Adam Geller, previously the pollster for Gov. Chris Christie, said in a memo posted on MacArthur&#8217;s website Monday [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":931,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[15,2],"tags":[278,24,277],"class_list":["post-1301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brick-elections","category-government","tag-aimee-belgard","tag-brick-nj-news","tag-tom-macarthur"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/macarthur_belgard.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pgt2Ft-kZ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1301\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/brick\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}