{"id":7357,"date":"2022-01-26T02:29:12","date_gmt":"2022-01-26T07:29:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/?p=7357"},"modified":"2022-01-26T02:29:28","modified_gmt":"2022-01-26T07:29:28","slug":"confidence-building-among-forecasters-for-significant-noreaster-this-weekend-frigid-temps","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/2022\/01\/confidence-building-among-forecasters-for-significant-noreaster-this-weekend-frigid-temps\/","title":{"rendered":"Confidence Building Among Forecasters for &#8216;Significant&#8217; Nor&#8217;Easter This Weekend, Frigid Temps"},"content":{"rendered":"[videopress b0dQxXrS]\n<p>The Jersey Shore may be in the path of a looming nor\u2019easter that is expected to form when two storm systems \u2013 once from the central portion of the country and one from the south \u2013 converge along with cold air from Canada.<\/p>\n<p>The result could be a \u201csignificant winter storm\u201d Friday into Saturday, according to the National Weather Service in Mount Holly.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile it is too soon for the details, heavy snow, strong winds and coastal flooding are all possible,\u201d the office posted through its social media accounts.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">We continue to monitor the potential for a significant winter storm Friday & Saturday. While it is too soon for the details, heavy snow, strong winds & coastal flooding are all POSSIBLE. Be sure to follow the forecast for updates.  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ka2HFv1cF3\">https:\/\/t.co\/ka2HFv1cF3<\/a>  <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/njwx?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#njwx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/dewx?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#dewx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/mdwx?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#mdwx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/pawx?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#pawx<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Y2W86zoULL\">pic.twitter.com\/Y2W86zoULL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 NWS Mount Holly (@NWS_MountHolly) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NWS_MountHolly\/status\/1486077871189905412?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 25, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The NWS released a short briefing package Tuesday night that included the current forecast highlights. Among them, \u201cConfidence is increasing that a significant winter storm will create considerable Friday through the weekend from the mid-Atlantic through the northeast.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The briefing said heavy snow is most likely in parts of New England, though recent forecast models have indicated a significantly greater chance of the storm affecting New Jersey as compared to several days ago. The European forecast model calls for an aggressive storm while the American GFS forecast model leans more toward coastal areas being affected with high tides and some snow, but no historic impacts. The forecast for the inner I-95 corridor from New York to Washington remains uncertain.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">4-5 days out from the storm, ensemble guidance helps to give us a better depiction of potential outcome.<\/p>\n<p>Looking at the ECMWF vs GFS for the likelihood of 6&quot;+ of snowfall, the differences are stark. <\/p>\n<p>ECMWF = 60-80% chance of 6&quot;+ PHL to BOS<br \/>GFS = 0-40% chance of 6&quot;+ PHL to BOS <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/geuXteGm7v\">pic.twitter.com\/geuXteGm7v<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 WeatherOptics (@weatheroptics) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/weatheroptics\/status\/1486125361649827844?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 25, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">That coupled jet signature is pretty chef&#39;s kiss <\/p>\n<p>Should promote explosive development Friday night into Saturday. Just a question of exact track <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/chMXb0yI8f\">pic.twitter.com\/chMXb0yI8f<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Eric Fisher (@ericfisher) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ericfisher\/status\/1486045019890982920?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 25, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Since the storm will be a nor\u2019easter, coastal impacts are expected, the NWS said. \u201cSignificant\u201d impacts will include coastal flooding and major beach erosion. Strong winds driven by the coastal system may also lead to blowing snow and reduced visibility if, indeed, snow moves into the region.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to the threat of the storm, the NWS also issued a rare advisory on potential dangers of hypothermia to anyone exposed to the elements on Saturday due to frigid temperatures.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLow wind chills are forecast on Saturday, with frostbite and hypothermia possible with prolonged exposure,\u201d the forecast said.<\/p>\n<p>As it currently stands, the official NWS forecast calls for a slight chance of rain or snow after 2 p.m. Friday, with the mix changing to all snow between 8 p.m. and 10 p.m. when the storm would begin to ramp up. Snow would continue until at least 2 p.m. Saturday, with additional rounds of snow showers lingering into Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>The high on Friday is forecast to be 37 degrees, however temperatures will plunge into the mid-20s at night, then stay below freezing Saturday, with a high of just 30 degrees. The overnight low Saturday night is forecast to be 15 degrees.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fcbkbttn_buttons_block\" id=\"fcbkbttn_left\"><div class=\"fb-share-button fcbkbttn_large_button \" data-href=\"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/2022\/01\/confidence-building-among-forecasters-for-significant-noreaster-this-weekend-frigid-temps\/\" data-type=\"button_count\" data-size=\"large\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[videopress b0dQxXrS] The Jersey Shore may be in the path of a looming nor\u2019easter that is expected to form when two storm systems \u2013 once from the central portion of the country and one from the south \u2013 converge along with cold air from Canada. The result could be a \u201csignificant winter storm\u201d Friday into [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7358,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[150],"tags":[1080,110,109,11],"class_list":["post-7357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment-weather","tag-featured","tag-noreaster","tag-snow","tag-toms-river-nj-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/pjimage.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7357\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shorebeat.com\/tomsriver\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}